[{"_1":2,"_282":-5,"_283":-5},"loaderData",{"_3":4,"_16":17,"_280":281},"root",{"_5":6,"_14":15},"fb",{"_7":8,"_9":10,"_11":12,"_13":8},"apiKey","AIzaSyAdxqOaB63feHHqSm_nZCKsSHpSAcxkct8","authDomain","thediplomat.firebaseapp.com","projectId","firebase-thediplomat","appId","ga",true,"routes/$issue",{"_18":19,"_20":21,"_22":23},"slug","2015-03","path","/2015-03","issue",{"_24":25,"_26":27,"_28":29,"_30":31,"_32":33,"_34":35,"_36":37,"_38":39,"_40":41,"_42":43},"eid","-Jl3TlET3lQI-dfEpRca","title","South China Sea: Deterring Maritime Aggression","description","In this issue, Patrick Cronin proposes mechanisms for deterring maritime aggression in the troubled South China Sea, Robert Kelly explains why Korean diplomacy has been so skillful, Saim Saeed considers U.S.-Pakistan relations, and Carl Thayer assembles a detailed brief to explain why the focus of the U.S. pivot to Asia is not about containing China. And, of course, we offer reporting, analysis and commentary from around the region.","masthead","","number",4,"date","March 2015","month",3,"year",2015,"status","rdy","toc",[44,60,77,85,109,133,158,183,208,225,246,263],{"_24":45,"_46":47,"_26":48,"_49":50},"-Jl3VGs7b-JHiHfFoiho","priority",0,"Cover Story","pages",[51],{"_24":52,"_53":54,"_55":56,"_57":58,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":59},"-Jl3WA18dBrlUhbaXHTY","lead","

How to impose costs on coercion, deter intimidation, and offset unilateral changes to the status quo.

","model","story","preview",1,"Countering China’s Maritime Coercion",{"_24":61,"_46":58,"_26":62,"_49":63},"-Jl3VKx_EP5hguiiebPI","Leads",[64,68,72],{"_24":65,"_53":66,"_55":56,"_57":58,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":67},"-Jl3WCa6JCXCBiYlZ9C0","

The days of Korea as the geopolitical football of the region are long gone.

","The Koreas, Diplomacy, and Regional Autonomy",{"_24":69,"_53":70,"_55":56,"_57":58,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":71},"-Jl3WFNl_HB3q8qjFJi6","

The bilateral relationship matters less now, and that may not be such a bad thing.

","U.S.-Pakistan Relations: Seeing Other People",{"_24":73,"_53":74,"_55":56,"_57":58,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":76},"-Jl3WHs4Ec394VM65Imr","

Far from trying to “contain” China, the U.S. is focusing on a wide array of initiatives with regional actors.

",2,"The Rebalance in Southeast Asia: Not About Containment",{"_24":78,"_46":75,"_26":79,"_49":80},"-Jl3VMeBDA1NRr7GZ8AE","Interview",[81],{"_24":82,"_53":83,"_55":56,"_57":58,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":84},"-Jl3WMI-eEfkPay_Coys","

In Central Asia, being gay or transgender continues to be highly stigmatized and pathologized.

","Cai Wilkinson on LGBT rights in Central Asia",{"_24":86,"_46":37,"_26":87,"_49":88},"-Jl3VQOp-d_55QTOxi6t","China",[89,93,97,101,105],{"_24":90,"_53":91,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":92},"-Jl3WWaNZCHhFgt7lgqU","

China and India both dream of a multipolar world, but they don’t necessarily agree on each others’ place in it.

","Untangling the Web of China-India Relations",{"_24":94,"_53":95,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":96},"-Jl3WXV_PH_7Od_Si_t4","

Beijing’s censorship is slamming the door on an open economy. The West needs to get its hand out of the door.

","Slamming the Door on Internet Freedom",{"_24":98,"_53":99,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":100},"-Jl3WYdMXlVV0MDWOqVW","

The industry is suffering from the domestic and international shift to cleaner energy.

","Fading Embers in China’s Coal Industry",{"_24":102,"_53":103,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":37,"_40":41,"_26":104},"-Jl3W_KmAe4lfkSnQOm2","

In a new draft law, China has opted for its own definition.

","How China Defines Terrorism",{"_24":106,"_53":107,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":33,"_40":41,"_26":108},"-Jl3WaRJ9ueM_ayYezhS","

Fighting between ethnic Chinese and the Myanmar government poses a thorny problem for Beijing.

","China’s Myanmar Headache",{"_24":110,"_46":33,"_26":111,"_49":112},"-Jl3VT-IYBCzIiSI0oDw","Northeast Asia",[113,117,121,125,129],{"_24":114,"_53":115,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":116},"-Jl3WclDa70YAIpaGhUa","

Mixed Signals in the Japan-South Korea Relationship
Relations remain fragile, but some positive steps have been taken.

","Mixed Signals in the Japan-South Korea Relationship",{"_24":118,"_53":119,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":120},"-Jl3WeTRl5UyKDAIhJ7W","

Ties have been chillier of late, but there are reasons why neither side will allow a complete break in relations.

","North Korea’s Evolving Relations With China",{"_24":122,"_53":123,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":124},"-Jl3WgBng1sFZeTa2oMB","

North Korea is attempting to refute accusations that it violates the human rights of disabled citizens.

","North Korea Shines Spotlight on the Disabled",{"_24":126,"_53":127,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":37,"_40":41,"_26":128},"-Jl3WhOiS5qblP5Cy7V4","

Already candidates are emerging for the next presidential elections.

","South Korea’s Next Presidential Candidates",{"_24":130,"_53":131,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":33,"_40":41,"_26":132},"-Jl3Wj3rFEWi5AoP_CDV","

The country managed to grow at the end of 2014, but the anemic pace underscores the need for reforms.

","Japan Escapes Recession",{"_24":134,"_46":135,"_26":136,"_49":137},"-Jl3VV4MmOFUv3S5eJfp",5,"South Asia",[138,142,146,150,154],{"_24":139,"_53":140,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":141},"-Jl3WkHQZds19vMEK9Du","

Maithripala Sirisena has a vision for Sri Lanka, but can he deliver?

","Sri Lanka’s Determined Reformer",{"_24":143,"_53":144,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":145},"-Jl3Wlp_Jc2iv-6-VB2E","

The Aam Aadmi Party may have swept Delhi’s Assembly elections, but is the hype warranted?

","Hyping the AAP",{"_24":147,"_53":148,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":149},"-Jl3WnPdAH-PaRxNk5cm","

Progress on bilateral trade issues appears to have been lost. What happened?

","India-Pakistan: The Curious Case of the MFN Status",{"_24":151,"_53":152,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":37,"_40":41,"_26":153},"-Jl3WopoUf0bCAm9q_Kv","

Deconstructing the nexus between drug trafficking and national security.

","The Narco-State of Afghanistan",{"_24":155,"_53":156,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":33,"_40":41,"_26":157},"-Jl3WqHE3AYAr-gJVZlF","

Allegations and counter allegations fly in the political cauldron of Malé, the nation’s capital.

","Dirty Politics in Pristine Maldives",{"_24":159,"_46":160,"_26":161,"_49":162},"-Jl3VZcJk-0vcMpdYP9O",6,"Southeast Asia",[163,167,171,175,179],{"_24":164,"_53":165,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":166},"-Jl3XL4oXa6JWsKZ3I0h","

A peace deal between the government and rebels is in peril.

","Philippine Peace Pact Under Siege",{"_24":168,"_53":169,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":170},"-Jl3XMIhsVT1aVzcxGIa","

New infrastructure within the region may be facilitating cross-border crime.

","ASEAN’s Transnational Crime Networks",{"_24":172,"_53":173,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":174},"-Jl3XNDOcUHFkV8oHNS7","

The Singapore Mutiny of 1915 would have profound consequences for the future of Asia.

","Singapore: A Mutiny Like No Other",{"_24":176,"_53":177,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":37,"_40":41,"_26":178},"-Jl3XOnvRsVsINMvg6La","

The disbanding of a key agency could threaten conservation efforts.

","Is Indonesian Forestry Reform in Peril Under Jokowi?",{"_24":180,"_53":181,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":33,"_40":41,"_26":182},"-Jl3XPs340RHiO_5KgIw","

The region saw a spike in piracy in 2014, and attacks became more deadly.

","Southeast Asia’s Piracy Headache",{"_24":184,"_46":185,"_26":186,"_49":187},"-Jl3Vwkh38NIAfFG0V9B",7,"Central Asia",[188,192,196,200,204],{"_24":189,"_53":190,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":191},"-Jl3XTDX1wQNJfAvruDX","

Islam Karimov, Uzbekistan’s 77-year-old leader, is a geopolitical master, swinging comfortably between Moscow, Washington, and Beijing.

","Clever, Clever Karimov",{"_24":193,"_53":194,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":195},"-Jl3XUK4eTr2MAaVnsRP","

Central Asia is constantly haunted by the threat of international terrorism. Are the fears justified?

","The Specter of Terror",{"_24":197,"_53":198,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":199},"-Jl3XVkhj3Dlxqo3EK8b","

Figures from Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have been caught up in a Swiss banking scandal.

","HSBC Scandal Unveils Central Asian Figures",{"_24":201,"_53":202,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":37,"_40":41,"_26":203},"-Jl3XWhnYRGFw6asXWef","

Allegations of torture are only the latest scandal to be associated with the troubled Kumtor Gold Mine.

","Kyrgyzstan’s Controversial Gold Mine",{"_24":205,"_53":206,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":33,"_40":41,"_26":207},"-Jl3XXlasBzybnuMSEKu","

Could oil price fears be driving Moscow to play the role of spoiler?

","The Russian-Iranian Military Agreement: Another Perspective",{"_24":209,"_46":210,"_26":211,"_49":212},"-Jl3W-wVdVCn_33KY8p6",8,"Oceania",[213,217,221],{"_24":214,"_53":215,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":216},"-Jl3X_YRHQnqirM19B0Y","

The Australian prime minister survives a leadership challenge, but is on the ropes.

","Tony Abbott’s Awful Month",{"_24":218,"_53":219,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":220},"-Jl3Xae76_5eFGsQaNmz","

Confusion seems to reign in the wake of the PM’s “near-death” experience last week.

","Australia’s Ongoing Submarine Debate",{"_24":222,"_53":223,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":224},"-Jl3XbfO_Ouz3gZmfsiP","

Xanana Gusmao has resigned as prime minister.

","East Timor’s ‘Poet Warrior’ Steps Down",{"_24":226,"_46":227,"_26":228,"_49":229},"-Jl3W29LitfK3yQxIByC",9,"Security",[230,234,238,242],{"_24":231,"_53":232,"_57":58,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":233},"-Jl3XdLgHVmyDJ0lZCW-","

Given their background, relations in the defense arena are likely to move forward slowly.

","US-India Defense Cooperation – A Short History",{"_24":235,"_53":236,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":237},"-Jl3XfAuX3SORUfGe-JU","

The region’s largest multinational military exercise goes ahead, albeit in scaled-down form.

","Uncertainties Take Shine Off Cobra Gold 2015",{"_24":239,"_53":240,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":241},"-Jl3XgaRjtncVjNKtINy","

Hybrid warfare is much ado about nothing – at least for now.

","A Tempest in a Teacup: Forget Hybrid Warfare",{"_24":243,"_53":244,"_57":47,"_46":37,"_40":41,"_26":245},"-Jl3Xix_RHwk2yMI25JC","

There is speculation that the U.S. will deploy its THAAD batteries to South Korea. Should China be worried?

","Are China’s THAAD Fears Justified?",{"_24":247,"_46":248,"_26":249,"_49":250},"-Jl3W5UIA7jPS38dGoci",10,"Diplomacy",[251,255,259],{"_24":252,"_53":253,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":254},"-Jl3XsFl686VIzTCdNTq","

China has just made its biggest foreign policy adjustment in 25 years.

","China’s Alternative Diplomacy",{"_24":256,"_53":257,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":258},"-Jl3XtLz0_69bfTtWPit","

Rarely have Pakistan and U.S. strategic interests converged.

","America’s Pakistan Dilemma",{"_24":260,"_53":261,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":262},"-Jl3Xuh2zgY2rA-2NBg2","

Russia-North Korea relations have been on a roll the past year, but may soon encounter roadblocks.

","Moscow and Pyongyang: From Disdain to Partnership?",{"_24":264,"_46":265,"_26":266,"_49":267},"-Jl3W7BIfLOhrL3ngOZD",11,"Asia Life",[268,272,276],{"_24":269,"_53":270,"_55":56,"_57":58,"_46":47,"_40":41,"_26":271},"-Jl3XyP54aVZ75Ms-okb","

In Cambodia, a unique strand of Islam is under threat.

","Plight of the Imam Sann",{"_24":273,"_53":274,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":58,"_40":41,"_26":275},"-Jl3Xzg8oxMHTKpJ9gQT","

Since 2001, the sport has taken off in Afghanistan, which is enjoying some impressive success.

","Cricket in Afghanistan",{"_24":277,"_53":278,"_55":56,"_57":47,"_46":75,"_40":41,"_26":279},"-Jl3Y0EIevQJO4Qw9NZY","

Global status may offer prestige, but it doesn’t help the economically vulnerable.

","Asian Cities Pay Hidden Price for Global Status","routes/$issue.cover",{"_18":19,"_20":21,"_22":23},"actionData","errors"]